The Hammer Drop Friday Week 6 NFL - Final Injury Reports, NFL Survivor & Props, NHL Talk, CFB Bets + Soccer Plays

Final Injury Reports for Week 6

***For the Monday Night Football game there is still one final report on Saturdays with game designations. We will include the latest injury reports as of Friday evening


Houston vs. Jacksonville (London)
Houston - RB David Montgomery Out, S Jalen Pitre Out, WR Tank Dell Out (Working back from PUP), LB Henry To'oTo'o Questionable (Working back from I.R.)
Jacksonville - CB Montaric Brown Out, CB Jaylon Jones Questionable

Tennessee at Indianapolis
Tennessee - RB Tyjae Spears Questionable/Full, S Kevin Winston Jr. Out, CB Joshua Williams Questionable (Working back from I.R.)
Indianapolis - WR Ashton Dulin Out, TE Tyler Qarren Questionable, LB Jaylon Carlies Out

Carolina at Philadelphia
Carolina - RB AJ Dillon Out, OG Damien Lewis Questionable/Full, OT Monroe Freeling Doubtful, EDGE Jaelan Phillips Questionable/Full, RB Trevor Etienne Questionable (Working back from I.R.), OT Taylor Moton Questionable (Working back from NFI), DT Turk Wharton Questionable (Working back from PUP)
Philadelphia - QB Jalen Hurts Out, RB Saquon Barkley Out, C Drew Kendall Questionable, EDGE Jalyx Hunt Out, EDGE A.J. Epenesa Doubtful, S Michael Carter II Out, TE Eli Stowers Questionable (Working back from I.R.), OG Landon Dickerson Questionable (Working back from I.R.)

Pittsburgh at Tampa Bay
Pittsburgh - RB Rico Dowdle Questionable/Full, WR DK Metcalf Questionable/DNP, WR Roman Wilson Out, WR Ben Skowronek Out, DT Keeanu Benton Questionable/Full, CB Jamel Dean Questionable, S Jalen Ramsey Questionable, S DeShon Elliott Out (Working back from I.R.)
Tampa Bay - QB Baker Mayfield Out, RB Sean Tucker Questionable, LB Josiah Trotter Questionable, LB SirVocea Dennis Questionable/Full, CB Benjamin Morrison Doubtful, S Antoine Winfield Jr. Out

Baltimore at Cleveland
Baltimore - QB Lamar Jackson Out, C Cam Jurgens Out, OG Andrew Vorhees Questionable, OG Emery Jones Jr. Questionable, DT Broderick Washington Out, WR Ja'Kobe Lane Questionable (Working back from I.R.)
Cleveland - RB Quinshon Judkins Questionable, OG Teven Jenkins Out, EDGE Derek Barnett Questionable, DT Mason Graham Questionable, DT Michael Hall Jr. Out, DT Kalia Davis Out, LB Carson Schwesinger Questionable, RB Dylan Sampson Out (Working back from I.R.)

New Orleans at New York Giants
New Orleans - RB Alvin Kamara Questionable, WR Chris Olave Questionable, EDGE Anfernee Jennings Out, DT Nathan Sheperd Questionable, LB Kaden Elliss Out, CB Lorenzo Styles Questionable
New York Giants - TE Theo Johnson Out, OT Andrew Thomas Questionable, OT Jermaine Eluemunor Questionable, EDGE Abdul Carter Questionable, CB Colton Hood Out, S Tyler Nubin Out

Chicago at Atlanta
Chicago - QB Caleb Williams Questionable/Full, RB Kyle Monangai Out, EDGE Montez Sweat Suspended, EDGE Dayo Odeyingbo Out, LB T.J. Edwards Out, CB Tyrique Stevenson Questionable, CB Kyler Gordon Questionable (Working back from PUP)
Atlanta - EDGE Za'Darius Smith Questionable, CB C.J. Henderson Out

New York Jets at New England
New York Jets - RB Breece Hall Out, WR Adonai Mitchell Out, TE Kenyon Sadiq Questionable/Full, OG Dylan Parham Out, EDGE Joseph Ossai Out, S Dane Belton Questionable, WR Omar Cooper Jr. Questionable (Working back from I.R.)
New England - RB TreVeyon Henderson Questionable, OT Will Campbell Questionable, LB Christian Elliss Questionable/Full, CB Carlton Davis Out, CB Karon Prunty Out, CB Channing Canada Questionable, S Craig Woodson Questionable/Full, WR AJ Brown Questionable (Working back from I.R.)

Arizona at L.A. Rams
Arizona - RB Jeremiyah Love Out, EDGE Zaven Collins Questionable/DNP, S Budda Baker Questionable/DNP, S Andrew Wingard Out, S Wydett Williams Out
L.A. Rams - OT Alaric Jackson Suspended, CB Trent McDuffie Questionable/DNP, S Kam Curl Questionable/DNP

L.A. Chargers at Kansas City
L.A. Chargers - WR Tre' Harris Out, WR Brenen Thompson Doubtful, OG Kayode Awosika Out, OT Joe Alt Out, EDGE Bud Dupree Questionable, DT Dalvin Tomlinson Questionable, LB Daiyan Henley Questionable, CB Donte Jackson Out, S Derwin James Jr. Out, WR KeAndre Lambert-Smith Questionable (Working back from I.R.)
Kansas City - WR Rashee Rice Out, OT Josh Simmons Out, CB L'Jarius Sneed Questionable

Buffalo at Las Vegas
Buffalo - WR DJ Moore Questionable, WR Joshua Palmer Questionable, DT Ed Oliver Questionable, DT T.J. Sanders Questionable/Full, CB Dee Alford Questionable
Las Vegas - OG Trey Zuhn Questionable, DT Tonka Hemingway Out, WR Dont'e Thornton Jr. Out (Working back from I.R.)

Dallas at Green Bay (Sunday Night Football)
Dallas - DT L.T. Overton Questionable/DNP, LB DeMarvion Overshown Questionable, CB Joey Porter Jr. Questionable, CB Cobie Durant Out, CB Ameer Speed Questionable
Green Bay - WR Skyy Moore Out, C/OG Jacob Monk Questionable, OG Aaron Banks Questionable, DT Anthony Campbell Questionable, DT Jonathan Ford Out, CB Benjamin St-Juste Out, CB Brandon Cisse Questionable

Washington at San Francisco (Monday Night Football)
Washington - QB Marcus Mariota DNP, RB Jacory Croskey-Merritt DNP, RB Rachaad White Limited, RB Austin Ekeler Limited, WR Terry McLaurin DNP, WR Stefon Diggs Limited, WR Treylon Burks Limited, EDGE Charles Omenihu DNP, DT Javon Kinlaw DNP, S Nick Cross Full, S Tyler Owens Limited, S Percy Butler Limited, S Jeremy Reaves Limited, CB Trey Amos Full (Working back from I.R.)
San Francisco - WR Mike Evans DNP, WR Deebo Samuel Out, EDGE Nick Bosa DNP, EDGE Romello Height DNP, DT Gracen Halton DNP, DT James Thompson Limited, LB Dre Greenlaw Suspended, WR Christian Kirk Limited (Working back from I.R.)

 

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Survivor Strategy for Week 6

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Between The Pipes
By: Alex Moretto, Director of Content at the Hammer Betting Network

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Let’s talk goalies. Early in the season I am generally quick to adjust for noticeable changes. I don’t want to be reactionary, but I think we learn a lot early on and I tend to put real stock into early goaltending trends, with the caveat that not every situation can be looked at under the same lens. With that being said, let’s touch on some tandems that I’ve been more aggressive in adjusting through the first two-and-a-half weeks:

Jakub Dobes to Jacob Fowler

Dobes caught lightning in a bottle for the Habs following the Olympics and carried that through to the end of their playoff run, but hasn’t been able to pick up where he left off. I don’t want to overreact to a bad start, but it’s fair to say Fowler’s always been the more highly regarded goalie. Fowler is a different class of prospect, and this will be fully his net one day. The question is whether that day has already come, and it’s stunning that we’re asking this considering he was starting games for Laval just two weeks ago. He is so calm and composed between the pipes and has been the guy St. Louis has leaned on with the Habs struggling to get a foothold early on. He helped steady the ship with wins over Detroit and Buffalo, while Dobes has looked fairly lost since an opening night win against the Leafs. It’s unfair to Dobes to gloss over his NHL resume because of four bad games, but with expectations raised in Montreal this year, he’s not going to be afforded the time he was last year to play his way into form. This is Fowler’s net until either guy provides a reason for that to change, and I am at the point where I have Fowler rated as the slightly better goalie – a gap that can grow quickly if they continue on this trajectory. I also think Dobes is the likeliest trade candidate for the Habs when Montembault comes back. A three-goalie system is doesn’t make sense for anyone. Montembault’s trade value is at an all-time low, while Fowler is their future (and present?). Trading Dobes off an elite playoff run to find an upgrade up front wouldn’t be the worst idea for Kent Hughes and Jeff Gorton.

Dan Vladar to Joseph Woll

Vladar didn’t just have a career year at 29, he absolutely smashed his previous highs in games played (54, previously 27), goals against average (2.42, previously 2.75), goals saved above average (12.65, previously -0.48), and goals saved above expected (22.87, previously -1). That’s quite a leap to take at 28 years old and I’ve been hesitant to buy in. Through two weeks he looks a lot more like the guy we saw for four years in Calgary, and time will tell whether that is to be attributed to his preseason injury, the Flyers’ rough start, or expected regression, but my money is on the latter. Woll, meanwhile, has been a real bright spot amidst this ugly start to the season in Philadelphia. The talent has always been there for Woll, he just hasn’t been able to stay healthy long enough to establish himself as a full-time starter. I still have my doubts regarding durability and think he’s best suited for a timeshare to keep his body fresh, but the gap between him and Vladar is growing by the day. I am much more interested in the Flyers and their unders on the nights we get Woll.

Linus Ullmark to Sam Ersson

I’ve been quick to upgrade Ullmark on his return to form. He’s among the best in the league when on top of his game and whatever was plaguing him last season appears to be a thing of the past. Ersson came into the league in 2023 and took everyone by surprise, but outside of a 20-game rookie stretch that was clearly an anomaly, we have all the evidence we need to know he is not an NHL caliber goalie. This is now my biggest starter to backup dropoff in the league.

John Gibson to Daniil Tarasov

I upgraded Tarasov considerably last season and continue to do so early on. He really transformed his game last year and has clearly taken yet another step, to the point where I’m comfortable saying he’s actually a solid NHL goalie. The biggest concern I have with him is not ability, but durability. Here are his total appearances per season since arriving in North America (AHL and NHL combined): 15, 28, 28, 22, 33. I’m not sure he can handle a big workload and have made a note to monitor and react to any noticeable dips in play as we get later in the season, but for now I have to give him the respect he deserves. With Gibson, he was great last year and I am willing to be more patient given the track record and current mess in Detroit, but it hasn’t been a great start for him and the gap between these two is closing in a hurry.

Tristan Jarry to Devon Levi

Coming into the season it would have been fair to question whether Levi was even an NHL-caliber goalie. His last start in the league was in January 2025 and none of his previous three NHL stints offered much reason for belief. He’s still 24 though, which is a fair age for him to put it all together. I’m taking things with a grain of salt given the light schedule thus far, but there is reason for optimism here. He’s trending way up, and Jarry isn’t of a starting caliber.

Joel Hofer to Jordan Binnington

The writing has been on the wall here for some time. Hofer clearly established himself as the better goalie in this tandem last year (and by a considerable margin), but a strong end to the season for Binnington left me wondering if maybe, just maybe, Binnington still had enough in the tank to close the gap. That’s clearly not the case. Hofer has fully taken over in St. Louis and the gap between the two has never been bigger. This is a Lukas Dostal to Ville Husso level of dropoff for me.


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CFB Best Bets from Hit The Books This week

UNLV -120
Notre Dame -9.5 -122
Memphis -6.5 -122
Hawaii team total over 13.5 -128
Nevada +14.5 -110
UNLV/Air Force under 48.5 -115
Ole Miss -5.5 -115
Virginia Tech -8.5 -112
Toledo -6.5 -118
Michigan -5.5 -114

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NFL Prop Bets from The Hammer Daily Today

Derek Carty Props:
Javonte Williams u2.5 receptions +120
Blake Corum u9.5 rush attempts -114
Rico Dowdle u1.5 receptions -102
Tanner McKee u0.5 passing touchdowns 172
D'Andre Swift u16.5 rushing attempts -102

Jason Cooper Props:
Bhayshul Tuten u63.5 rush yards -114
Drake London o6.5 receptions +124
Emeka Egbuka u36.5 receiving yards -114
Ray Davis o6.5 rushing yards -114
Omarion Hampton u40.5 rush + receiving yards -113

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Soccer Best Bets from Drunken Goon

EPL:
Chelsea -0.25 -107 over Everton  (good to -120)
Aston Villa +0.25 -109 over Newcastle (good to -125)

France:
Marseille -0.5 +104 over Angers (good to -130)
Lille -0.5 -114 over Brest (good to -125)
Lorient/Monaco OVER 2.5 -104 (goot to -130)

Bundesliga:
Leverkusen -0.75 -113 over Freiburg (good to -120)
Mönchengladbach +0.25 +105 over Hoffenheim (good to -115)

Italy: 
Como -0.5 +111 over Fiorentina (good to -105)

Romania: 
UTA/CFR Cluj o2.5 -106 (good to -130)
FCSB -0.75 -115 over Voluntari (good to -1 +100)

MLS:
St Louis draw no bet +100 over Minnesota (good to -115)
Kansas City/RSL OVER 3.25 -106 (good to OVER 3.5 +100)
Inter Miami -0.5 -105 over Atlanta (good to -120)

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