The Hammer Drop Sunday Week 10 NFL - Biggest Line Movement, NFL Bets, Player Props

Biggest Line Movement for Week 10 Sunday Games

-KC -3.5 to -3
-KC/Atl 46.5 to 47
-Ind -2.5 to -4.5
-Mia/Ind 42.5 to 37.5
-Car -1 to NO -1
-Car/NO 47.5 to 49
-Jax -9.5 to -10.5
-Jax/Ten 45 to 46.5
-Hou/Cle 39.5 to 40.5
-Sea -3 -115 to -6.5
-Sea/LV 43.5 to 40.5
-LAR -7.5 to -10
-LAR/Ari 46.5 to 38
-Pit/Cin 47.5 to 49
-Bal -3.5 to -4/-4.5

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NFL Best Bets from Forward Progress this week

Rob Pizzola:
NO -1.5 -110
LAR/Ari u40.5 -115

G-Stack:
Jax -10.5 -105
LAR/Ari u40.5 -115
Sea -6.5 -110
SF -3.5 -115

Austin Mock:
KC/Atl u47.5 -115

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All Bets in today's newsletter are based on FanDuel odds. Play there now
 

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NFL Player Prop from the Hitman

Drew lock under 203.5 pass yds -113

Lock is likely not fully healthy here, and when you couple that with what I’m expecting to be a run-heavy gameplan, I like Lock to stay under this number.

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Sunday Prop Looks from Clev TA

Geno Smith over 30.5 pass attempts -132

The Bills are a pass funnel defense and have allowed every starting QB that they have faced this season to exceed their seasonal attempt average. They have exceeded their average by more than 7 attempts per game vs. Buffalo so it hasn’t even been close most times. Geno has averaged just over 30 attempts but he has also faced a run of defenses that allow a very high rush rate against them like Las Vegas and Kansas City. He has faced only two other defenses (DET, GB) that have allowed more than 50% of opposing QBs to exceed their attempt average like Buffalo and Geno attempted 41 and 37 passes in those games. I would expect something similar here and some alts up to 36.5 are very interesting.

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All Bets in today's newsletter are based on FanDuel odds. Play there now