The Hammer Drop Sunday Week 3 NFL - Biggest Line Movement, NFL Bets, Player Props

Biggest Line Movement for Week 3 Sunday Games


-KC -11 to -9.5/10
-Car -3 to -1.5
-Car/Cle 41 to 42
-NYG -3.5 to -2.5
-Ten/NYG 40.5 to 37.5
-Hou -2.5 to -1.5
-Hou/Ind 44.5 to 42/42.5
-Sea -6.5 to -8.5
-Cin -3.5 to -3 -115
-SF -8.5 to -7.5
-Min -2.5 to -1
-Min/TB 44 to 42/42.5
-Bal -3 to -3.5
-Bal/Dal 52 to 53.5
-LAR -2.5 to -1.5
-LAR/Den 45.5 to 44
-Phi/Chi 43.5 to 42/42.5


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NFL Best Bets from Forward Progress this week

Rob Pizzola:
-Jax -2.5 -122
-NYJ/Det u48.5 -115
-Bal -3 -110
-Den +2.5 -110

G-Stack:
-Atl +6.5 -120
-NYJ +6.5 -102
-Hou -1.5 -115
-Phi -4.5 -115

Austin Mock:
-Cin/Pit u42.5 -105
-Sea/Was u40.5 -112
-Hou -1.5 -115
-Bal/Dal o52.5 -106


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All Bets in today's newsletter are based on FanDuel odds. Play there now
 

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NFL Player Prop from the Hitman

Javonte Williams under 58.5 rush yards -113

Dallas has not been able to run without Tyler smith and I’m expecting another pass-heavy gameplan here


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Sunday Prop Looks from Clev TA

David Montgomery over 50.5 rush yards -113

He faces a very soft Colts run defense that has allowed 100+ rush yards in 10 of their last 12 games dating back to mid 2025, including against the Texans in a very similar spot. They also rank dead last in yards before contact this season. The Texans dropped Stroud back way too much last week (59 times) and ran it only 14 times with their RBs including Montgomery. I think a defensive minded head coach like Ryans makes it a point to balance that much more this week and considering the Texans should be a in a better game script, I like Montgomery to clear this number.


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All Bets in today's newsletter are based on FanDuel odds. Play there now